Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever (8-13) have lost three times by a combined 83 points to the New York Liberty (17-3). Those two meet again Saturday at 1 p.m. ET with the Liberty set as 8-point favorites to beat the Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, according to ourbest sports betting sites.
New York enters Saturday's matchup, which is televised on CBS, as the second-favorite by the latest WNBA championship odds having won 13 of its last 14 games. That's a key reason why we're backing the road favorites in our Liberty vs. Fever prediction based on the topWNBA odds.
Liberty vs. Fever expert picks
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via ourbest sports betting apps.
- Liberty -8 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Liberty vs. Fever predictions for Saturday
Liberty -8 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Let me first make something clear: this isn't the same Fever team that was pummeled by 36 points (twice) earlier this season. Clark seemed to have truly turned the corner as a playmaker, and Indiana has responded with five wins in its last eight games.
That said, New York is very much so the same team that has bulldozed its way through the first half of the regular season. And I don't see that changing Saturday.
As mentioned before, the Liberty are riding a 13-1 run with five straight wins entering this rematch. Four of those came by at least nine points, as last year's runners-up lead the league in net rating (plus-12.3) and average scoring margin (plus-9.5).
Conversely, the Fever still rank in the bottom three on both accounts, and their last six games against teams currently with a winning record all ended in double-digit losses - including that 104-68 loss in New York last month and an 88-69 loss to the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday.
With three of our fivebest sportsbooksoffering Liberty -8.5, I'm compelled by the more favorable line from FanDuel at even cheaper -108 odds, which would return $9.26 on a $10 bet according to ourodds converter.
Best odds: -108 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.92%
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Liberty vs. Fever odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | -8.5 (-108) | -8 (-108) | -8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-110) | -8 (-110) |
| Indiana Fever | +8.5 (-112) | +8 (-112) | +8.5 (-110) | +8.5 (-110) | +8 (-110) |
Liberty vs. Fever game info
- When: Saturday, July 6
- Tip-off: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- How to watch: CBS
- Favorite: Liberty -8 (-110 via bet365)
Liberty-Fever predictions made Friday at 1:05 p.m. ET.
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Written By:
C Jackson Cowart Twitter link
C Jackson Cowart is a publishing editor and lead writer for Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017.Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office.While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.
